TSLABearpending
Michael TylerTarget Range
$280–$340
“if we get bad news, you're going to see a break lower likely to about 340 initially and then uh could go as low as like 280 here in the next couple of weeks.”
Thesis at the time
BullishThe host highlights a wave of positive Tesla catalysts—new FSD Supervised approvals across Europe, a viral Cyber Cab review from China, and a Morgan Stanley note (reposted by Musk) framing Tesla and SpaceX as synergistic physical-AI companies. He frames the stock as 'coiling' near its 100-day moving average and expects a breakout, with the direction depending on how the Iran situation and US-China talks resolve this week.
Key arguments
- FSD Supervised approved in the Czech Republic, continuing a string of European approvals with bigger markets (Germany, UK, France) still pending
- Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas published a note on Tesla/SpaceX physical-AI synergy that Elon Musk reposted, seen as hinting at deeper integration
- Tesla stock up about 3% and technically coiling near its 100-day moving average, suggesting an imminent breakout
- Short interest has been gradually climbing (2.1% to 2.65% of float) even as the stock grinds higher
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- If bad news emerges (e.g., an Iran escalation), the stock could break down toward $340 and potentially $280
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- INVEST AT YOUR OWN RISK AND NEVER LISTEN TO ANYTHING SAID IN THESE VIDEOS AS FINANCIAL ADVICE. BECAUSE ITS NOT.
- Markets may respond to upcoming catalysts from UN General Assembly and Trump-China meeting
- Geopolitical situation remains fluid and could escalate unexpectedly
The call
- Date said
- Sep 21, 2026
- Timeframe
- in the next couple of weeks
- Price at prediction
- $364.27
- Current price (live)
- $378.90$68.90 above target
- Confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- pending
Confidence Reasoning
Conditional on 'bad news' scenario with hedge words like 'could' and 'likely', though specific levels are given.
Source
Tesla Stock is EXPLODING.. (Big News)
Said on Sep 21, 2026Open on YouTube ↗