LCIDBearmiss
Lucid CityTarget Price
$8.76
“Bears are anticipating for it to be sub $9 this upcoming week. So, that would be a new 52-week and all-time low for Lucid. So again, not necessarily the best based on where it landed on Friday at 9:40, it is right above this S1. So, 9:30 is going to be that key level... If not, you should be seeing that 876 as the following support.”@ 4:22 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BearishLCID is at $9.40 and testing key support at $9.30. If that fails, $8.76 is next — a new all-time low. Bears are targeting sub-$9 for the week. A breakthrough in Iran peace negotiations could push to $10.18-$11.59 on the upside. The speaker sees the week as potentially being 'the bottom' if macro clarity comes, but uncertainty is very high.
Key arguments
- 32.19% of free float shorted (43.08M shares); DTC 6.16 days — shorts overextended
- Bears targeting sub-$9 this week — would be new 52-week all-time low
- If $7 breached, reverse stock split chatter will intensify
- No institutional buyers evident in secondary market
- Stochastic RSI moving toward oversold — reactive to positive Iran news
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- DTC of 6.16 days suggests potential for short squeeze on positive news
- New York Auto Show (Apr 3-12) could generate positive PR
- If Iran peace deal comes together, bulls target $10.18-$11.59
The call
- Date said
- Mar 29, 2026
- Deadline
- Apr 3, 2026
- Price at prediction
- $9.15
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- miss
- Resolution price
- $9.96
- Return
- -8.8%
- Notes
- Deadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $8.76. Price: $9.96.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Deadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $8.76. Price: $9.96.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.