TubeRank
TSLABullunverifiable
Randy KirkRandy Kirk
I think they could do modifications that would with before going to a line where they get to 600,000 per quarter globally.

Thesis at the time

Bullish

The hosts discuss strong current demand signals for Tesla, noting Model Y L and Model 3 rear-wheel-drive are sold out through year-end, which they attribute to improved FSD and high oil prices. They also speculate Tesla could push quarterly production higher by increasing shifts at existing factories rather than building new lines, while Elon's capex is being redirected toward autonomous Cybercab lines and AI infrastructure.

Key arguments

  • Model Y L and Model 3 RWD are sold out through the end of the year, indicating max production demand
  • People are reportedly walking into stores asking for FSD without knowing what the car looks like
  • Increasing shifts at Berlin, Austin, and Shanghai could push output toward 600,000 vehicles per quarter without new lines
  • Elon is prioritizing capex toward autonomous Cybercab production and AI-related satellite/data center projects
  • The Boring Company plans a 200 mph Hyperloop tunnel between Austin and San Antonio, using proven 2017 demo technology

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • Tesla may be short on capex to build an entirely new production line
  • It's unclear whether Berlin and Austin are currently running at full shifts

Hedges and caveats (from the video)

  • Host acknowledges lack of technical expertise on the subject
  • Discussion is speculative about future satellite capabilities
  • Comparison to fiber optics noted as current superior alternative
  • Technical specifications (kilowatts, terabits) are estimates or renderings, not confirmed final specs

The call

Date said
Sep 22, 2026
Price at prediction
$364.27
Confidence
low
Specificity
vague

How it resolved

Status
unverifiable
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Reference price
$364.27 (anchored at quote date)
Target used
Deadline source
None — neither explicit nor horizon-derived
Age at resolution
0.0 months(from publish date)

Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.

Confidence Reasoning

Hedged with 'I think' and 'could,' no explicit timeframe, and refers to a production capacity figure rather than a stock price.