NVDABullhit
Jo BhakdiTarget Price
$200
“I literally said it here. It's going to 200 in no time.”@ 12:25 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
Strongly BullishNVIDIA is at the eye of the AI storm and the easiest play for the AI revolution. The speaker predicted it would go to $200 and it's already moved from $175 to $190 in 5 days, though they wish they had more exposure.
Key arguments
- At the center of AI revolution
- Easiest play for AI exposure
- Agent revolution driving demand
- Pivoted to agent strategy with new products
- Greatest demand explosion in history of humanity
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Need to watch out for valuations
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Acknowledges uncertainty about news sources on X ('not sure if they're true or not')
- Relies on geopolitical predictions that could change rapidly
- References past prediction accuracy ('I predicted this yesterday') rather than new forward guidance
- Mentions Pioneer Alpha strategy performance claims without detailed methodology
The call
- Date said
- Apr 13, 2026
- Timeframe
- in no time
- Price at prediction
- $189.31
- Confidence
- high
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $201.68
- Return
- +6.5%
- Notes
- Target ≥$200 reached on 2026-04-17. Price: $201.68. Return: +6.5%.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Target ≥$200 reached on 2026-04-17. Price: $201.68. Return: +6.5%.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.
Confidence Reasoning
Strong conviction language 'literally said' and 'going to', plus already proven partially right