LCIDBullhit
Lucid CityTarget Price(split-adjusted)
$24.30
Said $2.43· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
“it is just a matter of time before Lucid does start to move higher... 50-day moving average is at 243. So that's going to be a key pivot.”@ 6:53 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BullishLucid extended its Graphite One supply agreement with a 5-year US-sourced deal, generating positive algorithmic trading momentum. The speaker sees the stock is technically poised to break higher once it clears the 50-day moving average at $2.43, with the Q2 earnings in ~1 month expected to bring 3–4 new analyst ratings.
Key arguments
- Back-to-back news days are producing institutional buying and algorithmic momentum
- Graphite One agreement strengthens US supply chain and reduces tariff exposure
- 50-day MA at $2.43 is the next major pivot; a break above historically yields a ~30% swing
- Canfice Gerald $3 hold rating from Andre Shepard is largely ignored by the market (49% success rate)
- Lucid's stock is holding up well vs. broader market despite geopolitical headwinds
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts increased 213K shares and are monitoring closely
- Geopolitical Middle East tensions are causing some market pullback
The call
- Date said
- Jun 17, 2025
- Price at prediction
- $21.50
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $31.20
- Return
- +45.1%
- Notes
- Target ≥$24.3 reached on 2025-07-17. Price: $31.20. Return: +45.1%.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Target ≥$24.3 reached on 2025-07-17. Price: $31.20. Return: +45.1%.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.