TSLA bullish call by Michael Tyler

TSLABullunverifiable

“If it does, I think Wall Street is dramatically underestimating Tesla's stock right now.”

Thesis at the time

Strongly Bullish

The host highlights strong vehicle demand signals (extended Model 3 delivery times, record order backlog) and points to Optimus/robotics as an underappreciated catalyst. He believes Tesla is transitioning into the next AI trade (robotics, automation, AI software) and expects the stock to perform well over the next 12-24 months, though he anticipates limited movement until after the midterms.

Key arguments

Model 3 rear-wheel-drive delivery estimates pushed to Q1 2027, signaling demand
Tesla's order backlog is the largest since 2023
Optimus production timeline (Aug/Sept) could be a major underappreciated catalyst
Tesla Semi could become a $10B/year business with ~20% margins, adding meaningful profit
Short interest covering (falling shares short) suggests bearish exhaustion
Tesla positioned to benefit from the emerging robotics/automation/AI-software trade

Counter-arguments acknowledged

Uncertain whether Optimus will hit its August/September manufacturing timeline
Macro headwinds (Fed rate path, midterms, Iran/oil uncertainty) could keep the stock range-bound short term

Hedges and caveats (from the video)

INVEST AT YOUR OWN RISK AND NEVER LISTEN TO ANYTHING SAID IN THESE VIDEOS AS FINANCIAL ADVICE. BECAUSE ITS NOT.
Initial jobless claims came in higher than expected despite being historically low
Future rate hike probabilities remain uncertain and dependent on upcoming economic data
Upcoming retail sales and consumer sentiment data could impact market direction