LCIDBearpartial
Lucid CityTarget Price(split-adjusted)
$20.60
Said $2.06· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
“next goal is to really break it below this 206”@ 6:22 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
MixedLucid is participating at NVIDIA GTC 2025 with a booth but not a formal presentation, which is a missed opportunity to showcase their NVIDIA-powered DreamDrive technology. Shorts increased 1.93M shares and appear to be targeting a technical breakdown below $2.06 support. The speaker also floats a speculative Tesla acquisition idea as potentially mutually beneficial.
Key arguments
- Lucid has NVIDIA GTC 2025 booth but not a formal presentation slot, a missed PR opportunity
- Shorts increasing aggressively (1.93M on Friday alone) with apparent goal of breaking $2.06 technical support
- With macro data week ahead (Fed decision, retail sales), technical movement likely to dominate
- Speculative Tesla acquisition of Lucid could give Lucid access to scale and Tesla access to luxury/tech licensing
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Stock is below all key pivotal moving averages with no near-term positive technicals
- Many partnership rumors (Apple, Hyundai) have historically not materialized
The call
- Date said
- Mar 16, 2025
- Price at prediction
- $21.60
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- partial
- Resolution price
- $21
- Return
- +2.8%
- Notes
- Horizon window passed. Moved 60% toward target $20.6. Price: $21.00.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Horizon window passed. Moved 60% toward target $20.6. Price: $21.00.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.