HYPEBullunverifiable
Stock Moe“I honestly believe seeing hyperliquid if it gets accepted in the US as perpetual trading is illegalized and allowed in here and they are leading it this thing will catch up to XRP in terms of market cap.”
Thesis at the time
Strongly BullishStock Moe is heavily bullish on HYPE, citing a new all-time high made despite a large token unlock, institutional and whale accumulation, and strong on-chain revenue from native lending. He believes further US regulatory acceptance of perpetual trading could significantly grow HYPE's market cap over the next 1-3 years.
Key arguments
- Absorbed a 9.92 million token unlock and still made a new all-time high
- Large wallets and an a16z-linked institution accumulating tens of millions of dollars worth of HYPE
- Native lending went live with $269 million borrowed on day one and $696 million annualized revenue
- Moved past Dogecoin into the top 10 crypto assets by market cap
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Reversals are real and could go the other way
- US regulatory approval for perpetual trading is not guaranteed
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Acknowledges regulatory uncertainty with Clarity Act failure
- States 'I don't know' regarding weekly candle closure
- Notes market often reverses expectations
- Mentions SEC and CFTC regulatory control ahead
- Describes analysis as technical observation rather than guaranteed outcome
The call
- Date said
- Sep 19, 2026
- Price at prediction
- $92
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- vague
How it resolved
- Status
- unverifiable
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.
Confidence Reasoning
Strong personal conviction ('I honestly believe') but conditioned entirely on US regulatory approval of perpetual trading, which is uncertain.
Source
XRP HYPE 🚨 BUYING EVERYTHING I CAN RIGHT NOW!
Said on Sep 19, 2026Open on YouTube ↗