LCIDBullmiss
Lucid CityTarget Price
$9.89
“best case scenario, we do close above 913. Then in theory, we should see a nice push higher over the next couple of trading days... if we can get above 913 and nothing crazy dramatic does happen... then in theory, 989 is going to be the following target.”@ 5:46 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
MixedThe speaker sees a potential short-term recovery underway, driven by JPM's V-shaped rebound call for the broader market and easing Middle East tensions. If LCID can close above $9.13, the next target is $9.89 and potentially a test of the 50-day moving average. However, shorts remain heavily elevated at 33.6% of float and the RBC analyst cut their price target from $10 to $8.
Key arguments
- JPM calling broader market oversold with V-shaped rebound likely — strong macro tailwind
- LCID new ChatGPT/MCP software integration confirms tech/AI identity
- Shorts returning 164K shares signals short covering on green days
- DTC of 6.64 days means shorts overextended — potential squeeze fuel
- Net options premiums turning positive, bulls anticipating $9-$9.50
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- RBC cut price target from $10 to $8 — bearish analyst revision
- 33.6% of free float still shorted (44.9M shares)
- Bears still anticipate sub-$9 outcome
The call
- Date said
- Apr 13, 2026
- Price at prediction
- $9.24
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- miss
- Resolution price
- $5.68
- Return
- -38.5%
- Notes
- Horizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $9.89. Price: $5.68.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Horizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $9.89. Price: $5.68.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.