TSLA bullish call by HyperChange

TSLABullunverifiable

“I want to call it almost perfectly fairly valued in my opinion and my opinion doesn't matter. All that matters is the market but I think it's very fairly valued.”@ 21:54 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗

Thesis at the time

Strongly Bullish

Tesla is currently trading at a massive premium ($1.5T valuation) based on future growth expectations from robotaxi and Optimus, not current fundamentals. The YouTuber believes Tesla will transform into one of the most profitable companies ever by 2030 through these new business lines, despite current earnings stagnation.

Key arguments

Energy and storage business showing 50%+ growth with strong margins
Robotaxi expansion to 5 states in first half of 2026 with official mile tracking
Vertical integration advantages (lithium refinery, battery plants, chip fab)
FSD improvements driving future sales growth
Optimus and Cybercab will become as relevant as car business by 2029

Counter-arguments acknowledged

Tax credits expiring creating negative headwinds
Europe tensions with Elon Musk
Current earnings at lowest levels since 2020
Revenue declined from $98B to $95B year-over-year
Robotaxi won't meaningfully impact financials for next couple years

Hedges and caveats (from the video)

This show is never financial advice
Acknowledges recent revenue decline from $98B to $95B year-over-year
Notes gross profit and operating income peaked in 2022 and have declined since
Recognizes current 344x P/E ratio is extremely high relative to current earnings
Current valuation is explicitly framed as a bet on future growth, not current fundamentals
Host discloses Tesla is their biggest personal investment and they are bullish