TubeRank
TSLABullunverifiable
Randy KirkRandy Kirk
Yes, Tesla's currently undervalued, but at the same token, SpaceX is currently undervalued.

Thesis at the time

Bullish

The hosts believe Tesla is currently undervalued and see multiple upcoming catalysts—the Semi truck event, an anticipated Optimus event, strong Q3 delivery numbers, and SpaceX's Starship-driven data center opportunity—as reasons the stock could move higher. They also discuss a potential SpaceX-Tesla merger of equals, arguing Elon Musk will ultimately decide relative valuations and that current prices for both companies are roughly fair.

Key arguments

  • Tesla is currently undervalued relative to its opportunities
  • Upcoming catalysts: Semi event, Optimus event, robotaxi expansion
  • Strong Q3 delivery trends (low inventory, high demand) support the stock
  • SpaceX's data center/Starship economics could indirectly benefit Tesla shareholders given merger speculation
  • Elon Musk controls both boards and will ultimately drive the SpaceX-Tesla merger valuation decision

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • Retail investors have reportedly been moving out of Tesla stock recently
  • Market may not be crediting Tesla/SpaceX with future gigawatt-scale data center revenue potential
  • Uncertainty and nervousness among investors about how a SpaceX-Tesla merger would be structured

Hedges and caveats (from the video)

  • Discussion relies on third-party analyst calculations (Bank of America, Wood McKenzie, Futurum, BNP Paribas) with varying cost estimates
  • Comparisons to Starlink success are historical analogies, not guarantees of future performance
  • SpaceX is a private company; direct investment exposure is through Tesla stock
  • Cost projections depend on achieving rapid reusability milestones not yet fully demonstrated
  • Video contains promotional links to options course and Rebellionaire services

The call

Date said
Sep 18, 2026
Price at prediction
$366.20
Confidence
medium
Specificity
vague

How it resolved

Status
unverifiable
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Reference price
$366.20 (anchored at quote date)
Target used
Deadline source
None — neither explicit nor horizon-derived
Age at resolution
0.1 months(from publish date)

Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.

Confidence Reasoning

Clear directional conviction (undervalued, implying upside) but no specific price target or timeframe given.