QQQBearunverifiable
Stock Moe“the Q's, the NASDAQ's are going to drop five to 10 percent from highs and you are going to have that correction”
Thesis at the time
MixedStock Moe expects a near-term pullback in the Nasdaq/Qs of roughly 5-10% from highs following the Fed's surprise hike, followed by a consolidation and a resumption of the uptrend once the market gets clarity on Fed policy. He frames this as a short-term correction rather than the start of a bear market.
Key arguments
- The Fed hiked 25 basis points after months of cutting, catching markets off guard
- Historically, stocks and bonds have reacted negatively immediately after a Fed hike
- He expects a 5-10% drop from highs followed by consolidation and a move higher
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- The hike itself was more than 90% priced in already
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Speaker acknowledges uncertainty about market direction ('Up, down, sideways')
- Admits 'history can't lead us exactly down the path because this is a very unique situation'
- Uncertainty about whether Fed is truly restrictive ('Barely. Maybe not. We don't know')
- Markets are pricing in two more hikes but speaker believes only one more likely
- Speaker states personal position ('I told you I wasn't selling anything') but this is not financial advice
The call
- Date said
- Sep 17, 2026
- Timeframe
- next 30 to 90 days
- Price at prediction
- $704.54
- Confidence
- high
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- unverifiable
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.
Confidence Reasoning
Stated with certainty language ('I'm calling it now', 'going to drop') and specific percentage range, though no exact price target given.
Source
XRP BITCOIN HOLDERS 🚨 FED JUST CHANGED EVERYTHING
Said on Sep 17, 2026Open on YouTube ↗