LCIDBearhit
Lucid CityTarget Price(split-adjusted)
$18.50
Said $1.85· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
“what I mentioned from the Elliot wave technicals about $180 to $1.90 is anticipated. It's coming a little bit sooner than I would have expected.”@ 7:38 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BearishTrump directly attacked EVs saying 'who wants an electric car? it explodes,' sending Tesla down 6% and dragging Lucid and Rivian lower. The speaker notes Lucid's marketing and PR lag is a strategic vulnerability, and while Peter Rawlinson is reportedly still advising creative/strategic teams, the speaker remains skeptical this meaningfully changes execution.
Key arguments
- Trump: 'Who wants an electric car? I don't want an electric car. It explodes' — damaging to EV sector
- Tesla down 6.23%, Rivian down 4.37%, LCID down ~5% on Trump comments
- Elliott wave technicals target $1.80-$1.90 range
- Lucid's marketing and PR gap is leaving investors without catalysts
- Peter Rawlinson reportedly still advising creative and strategic roles
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts not really active today — unusual, could signal exhaustion
- Lucid expanding to Middle East (Abu Dhabi) — long-term growth signal
- Peter still involved may preserve some technology continuity
The call
- Date said
- Jul 1, 2025
- Price at prediction
- $20.30
- Confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $17.66
- Return
- +13.0%
- Notes
- Target ≤$18.5 reached on 2025-09-02. Price: $17.66. Return: +13.0%.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Target ≤$18.5 reached on 2025-09-02. Price: $17.66. Return: +13.0%.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.