TSLABullexpired
E
Exane BNP ParibasTarget Price(split-adjusted)
$26.67
Said $400· today's shares after the 5-for-1 (Aug 2020) and 3-for-1 (Aug 2022) splits
“And then there's Exane BNP Paribas who, on December 10th, raised their price target on Tesla stock from $300 (which was set just two months prior) to $400.”@ 3:27 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
Strongly BullishThe YouTuber believes Tesla's stock is experiencing a fundamental shift in Wall Street sentiment, with prominent bears and analysts beginning to reverse their negative positions. He draws parallels to Amazon's early years, suggesting Tesla could see similar massive growth as more analysts 'wake up' to the company's potential.
Key arguments
- Jim Cramer converted from skeptic to outright bull after experiencing Tesla products firsthand
- Mark Spiegel halved his Tesla short position from 20% to 10% of his fund
- Exane BNP Paribas raised price target from $300 to $400
- UBS suspended their rating amid potential regulatory issues
- Tesla's 9-year stock performance mirrors Amazon's early trajectory with 2000% growth
- Sentiment shifts from major players significantly impact stock price
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Acknowledges it's 'far too early to take a victory lap' and 'anything could happen tomorrow'
- Notes that most analysts, finance media, and short sellers still think Tesla is 'garbage'
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Creator acknowledges 'this is a LONG game and anything could happen tomorrow'
- Notes it's 'far too early to take a victory lap'
- Acknowledges questionable track records of analysts being discussed
- Video contains affiliate links (WeBull promotion)
- References past prediction video rather than making entirely new directional call
The call
- Date said
- Dec 24, 2019
- Price at prediction
- $27.95
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- expired
- Resolution price
- $400.62
- Return
- +1333.5%
- Notes
- Missing deadline. Prediction over 12 months old. Price: $400.62.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Missing deadline. Prediction over 12 months old. Price: $400.62.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.
Confidence Reasoning
This is reporting a third-party analyst's price target, not the YouTuber's own prediction