AMZNBullpending
Jeremy Lefebvre Makes MoneyTarget Price
$300
“if they could just lead on that, you know, this was the last year of crazy capex and that they're the numbers are going to moderate in future years. You know, could could Amazon go 300 plus? Yes.”@ 13:20 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BullishAmazon is showing strong performance in the market recovery, up 25% from the bottom. Like Meta, the YouTuber sees potential for significant upside if the company signals capex moderation.
Key arguments
- Strong recovery performance
- Potential for major upside with capex guidance changes
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Needs capex moderation signal to unlock full potential
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Historical pattern analysis based on only 5-6 years of data
- Author explicitly states 'this is no guarantee'
- Pattern recognition does not guarantee future results
- Insider buying mentioned as 'usually the most bullish signal' but not a certainty
The call
- Date said
- Apr 15, 2026
- Price at prediction
- $249.02
- Current price (live)
- $254.98$45.02 below target
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- pending
Confidence Reasoning
Conditional but affirms 'Yes' when asked about $300+