LCIDBullhit
Lucid CityTarget Price(split-adjusted)
$30
Said $3· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
“I would feel that lucid is going to be at $3 in the next uh week possibly in the next two weeks uh at the very latest”@ 7:04 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BullishLucid has entered its sixth market with UAE deliveries commencing, supported by a new 10-year battery supply contract with Korean firm Greenergy, and the stock is in technical breakout mode above the 50-day moving average. Algorithmic trading is propelling the stock higher and big-money call options consensus targets $3+ near-term.
Key arguments
- Lucid starts deliveries in UAE, marking its sixth international market
- 10-year battery supply contract with Korean Greenergy signals long-term planning
- Stock is above 50-day MA and super-trend indicator, triggering algorithmic buying
- Options activity shows big-money $15 strike price call for December 2025
- Historical pattern of 30-40% rally when above 50-day MA for two consecutive days
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts returning for a second consecutive day (277K shares added)
- Bears are anticipating sub-$2 price levels
The call
- Date said
- Dec 13, 2024
- Deadline
- Dec 27, 2024
- Price at prediction
- $25.80
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $30.20
- Return
- +17.1%
- Notes
- Target ≥$30 reached on 2024-12-20. Price: $30.20. Return: +17.1%.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Target ≥$30 reached on 2024-12-20. Price: $30.20. Return: +17.1%.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.