TubeRank
XRPBearpending
Stock MoeStock Moe

Target Range

$0.80$0.89

If you get down below $1 and it finishes below one, you get into 99 anything and it finishes... I think we're going to head down that mid that high 80s.

Thesis at the time

Bearish

Stock Moe describes XRP as technically weak, sitting below the 5 EMA with a horrible RSI reading of 37, and warns that a break below $1 could send the price down into the high $0.80s. He notes a longer-term crypto winter thesis that he expects to bottom around October or November before a new cycle begins.

Key arguments

  • XRP is underneath the 5 EMA, which he calls the 'scary part'
  • RSI at 37 is described as 'absolutely horrible'
  • A break below $1 could open the door to the high 80-cent range
  • He believes the broader crypto winter won't end until next October/November based on past cycles

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • He notes a 'gut feeling' that something surprising and positive could happen despite the bearish technicals

Hedges and caveats (from the video)

  • Presenter acknowledges being 'negative for a while' on XRP
  • Currently trading below the 5 EMA which is described as 'the scary part'
  • Prediction is speculative ('could break in a positive way')
  • Video contains promotional content for paid membership services
  • Past performance examples (202% and 72% wins) do not guarantee future results
  • Risk management mentioned (30% stop losses) but not guaranteed to prevent losses

The call

Date said
Aug 14, 2026
Price at prediction
$11.40
Current price (live)
$1.62$0.78 above target
Confidence
medium
Specificity
specific

How it resolved

Status
pending

Confidence Reasoning

Conditional on breaking $1 support but stated with some conviction ('I think', track record claim of 'nailing this all the way down').