TSLABullpending
Target Price
$700
“For those of you guys who's been following me for some time, you guys already know that my price target by end of this year is at 700 bucks per share”@ 0:00 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
Strongly BullishTesla will transform from primarily an auto company to a diversified technology company driven by full self-driving, robotaxis, Optimus robots, and energy storage. The YouTuber believes these new revenue streams will justify massive valuation expansion despite high P/E ratios.
Key arguments
- Full self-driving and robotaxi revenue will reach over $120 billion combined by 2032
- Optimus robot sales will generate $40 billion in revenue by 2032
- Energy business will continue growing with data center and AI demand
- Tesla will become a 'cash machine' with EPS growing from $2 to $22 by 2032
- Multiple revenue streams reduce dependence on vehicle deliveries
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- High P/E ratios may not be sustainable
- Black swan events like wars or interest rate spikes could derail projections
- Regulatory challenges could slow robotaxi deployment
- Potential merger with SpaceX/xAI could change the entire analysis
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Creator explicitly states 'This is not financial advice'
- Described as 'just a prediction' and 'my conviction on these things'
- Acknowledged as conservative estimates on vehicle deliveries
- Predictions dependent on speculative future products (FSD, robotaxis, robots)
- Average selling price assumptions based on unproven Cybertruck mass production
- Government credits assumptions may not materialize as projected
The call
- Date said
- Feb 22, 2026
- Timeframe
- by end of this year
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2026
- Price at prediction
- $399.83
- Current price (live)
- $378.90$321.10 below target
- Confidence
- high
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- pending
Confidence Reasoning
Specific price target with detailed financial model backing the prediction