LCIDBullhit
Lucid CityTarget Price(split-adjusted)
$26.30
Said $2.63· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
“I don't see this 263 being touched unless something big and dramatic does happen”@ 5:25 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BullishLucid popped 4.55% on better CPI data signaling easing inflation. Big institutional money entered through options and common stock. The speaker sees FOMO building and notes that the next resistance target is $2.63, while shorts oddly continue adding despite the broad short-covering trend. The speaker recommends dollar-cost averaging given the hard-to-predict bottom.
Key arguments
- Better-than-expected CPI data (both MoM and YoY lower than forecast) driving LCID higher alongside the market
- Big institutional money visible in options and secondary market transactions
- Options consensus for LCID recovery to ~$2.50 in near term; bears targeting sub-$2
- Shorts adding 596K shares even while other shorted stocks see covering – unusual behavior
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts continue adding against the trend of the broader short-covering environment
- Stock still needs specific Lucid news to push to $2.63 resistance
The call
- Date said
- Mar 12, 2025
- Price at prediction
- $21.60
- Confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $26.50
- Return
- +22.7%
- Notes
- Target ≥$26.3 reached on 2025-05-13. Price: $26.50. Return: +22.7%.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Target ≥$26.3 reached on 2025-05-13. Price: $26.50. Return: +22.7%.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.