LCIDBullmiss
Stock Live MarketTarget Price(split-adjusted)
$800
Said $80· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
“lucid stock will enter a positive period cesif stock will reach 80 above price according to our lucid stock forecast 22.”@ 2:39 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BullishDespite near-term declines, Lucid has product advantages over Tesla in range and charging, with the creator's 2022 forecast calling for LCID to reach $80 over the long term.
Key arguments
- Lucid has longer range and better charging than Tesla
- Creator's 2022 forecast: LCID will reach $80
- Long-term (8-10 year) outlook is positive
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Near-term share price down ~4.62%
- Lucid does not pay dividends
- S&P 500 and Dow Jones weakness weighing on LCID
The call
- Date said
- Aug 26, 2022
- Timeframe
- long-term (8-10 years positive outlook mentioned)
- Price at prediction
- $162.40
- Confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- miss
- Resolution price
- $20.80
- Return
- -87.2%
- Notes
- Horizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $800. Price: $20.80.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Horizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $800. Price: $20.80.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.
Confidence Reasoning
Forecast is vague, appears AI-generated/template-like, lacks supporting methodology or clear timeframe despite referencing 8-10-year outlook.