BIG Lucid Q3 Earnings TODAY ๐ฅ Blackrock BUYS More Lucid โ Current Implied Move 10.18%
Overall SentimentNeutralStrength: 30%
Overall Thesis
On Q3 earnings day Lucid is up 4.58% as Rivian's positive earnings and big institutional Q3 buying provide a lift โ but the expected 10.18% implied move means significant volatility either way after hours.
Narratives
LCIDLucid Motors
NeutralPre-earnings, Lucid is seeing the most bullish options market sentiment in recent memory with bulls eyeing $18.50โ$20. Big institutions (Vanguard, Schwab, BlackRock) added in Q3 per 13Fs. However, shorts are increasing into earnings (32.1% of float) and the speaker's key watchpoint is whether management reiterates targets and addresses future partnerships โ without that, the market may sell the news.
Key Arguments
- Implied move of 10.18% (~$1.74 in either direction) signals significant volatility expected
- Major institutions (Vanguard +635K, Schwab +6.2M, BlackRock +434K) bought in Q3 per 13Fs
- Shorts increasing into earnings โ 32.1% of float, cost to borrow 29.69%
- Bulls see $18.50โ$20 consensus; bears see sub-$16
- Wall Street will focus on 2025 delivery guidance reiteration and partnership updates
Analyzed with manual_claude_session | Extraction manual_v1 | Cost: โ