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Financial Education onCAKECheesecake Factory

Every thesis Financial Education has voiced on CAKE 11 in all, newest first, with the arguments and risks behind each. Reads as the evolution of their view: the bottom is where they started, the top is where they landed.

NeutralAMD Investors GET READY‼️ The time has come…Sep 21, 2026
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Cheesecake Factory is mentioned only in passing as a five-figure gain in Jeremy's portfolio for the day, with no substantive thesis or forward-looking view offered.

Key arguments

  • Position gained over $10,000 in a single day
BullishI Spent $100,000 on this 1 Stock Today‼️Sep 16, 2026
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The YouTuber views short-term weakness in Cheesecake Factory (driven by soft dining traffic data, rising gas/diesel prices, and inflation fears) as noise that long-term investors should buy into. He believes the company's growth brands like North Italia, Flower Child, and Culinary Dropout give it a decade-plus runway of unit growth that justifies a forward P/E around 21.

Key arguments

  • Forward P/E of around 21 looks reasonable given long-term growth from North Italia, Flower Child, and other concepts
  • Flower Child could grow from 44 to 700 locations and North Italia from 51 to 200, giving a much longer runway than Cheesecake Factory's own 2-3% unit growth
  • Soft August dining traffic data and Wells Fargo's flat price target are short-term noise, similar to a dip in May that was followed by a rally
  • Rising gas and diesel prices could raise input costs and hurt margins as happened in 2022-2023

Risks acknowledged

  • Higher diesel and gas prices could raise food costs across the supply chain and pressure margins
  • Elevated inflation could push the actual forward P/E higher than 21 if profitability suffers
BullishThese 2 Stocks are Next to Soar‼️Sep 15, 2026
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The host is very bullish on Cheesecake Factory, citing a decade of growth runway, attractive dividend yield on his cost basis, and a reasonable forward P/E of about 20. He has no interest in selling unless valuation becomes extreme.

Key arguments

  • 10-year runway of growth ahead
  • Attractive dividend yield relative to his cost basis
  • Forward P/E is reasonable at ~20

Risks acknowledged

  • Would consider trimming if forward P/E reached ~35
BullishThese 2 Stocks are Next to Soar‼️Sep 15, 2026
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He bought Cheesecake Factory shares around $30-32 in 2023-2024 when the stock was unloved, later averaging up to a cost basis of $40.75, and is sitting on significant gains.

Key arguments

  • Bought shares around $30-32 when no one wanted the stock in 2023-2024
  • Averaged up over time to a cost basis of $40.75, now up roughly $29,000 in gains

Risks acknowledged

  • Acknowledges contrarian buys don't always work, citing Nike as a counterexample
NeutralMy STOCK Just went Insane‼️Sep 11, 2026
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Jeremy notes Cheesecake Factory was also down on the day as evidence of a broad market pullback, with no further thesis given.

Key arguments

  • Stock down on the day
BullishTop 5 Stocks I have the Most Money Invested‼️❤️Aug 28, 2026
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Cheesecake Factory is the fourth-largest position in the portfolio, valued at $363,000 and up $230,000 plus dividends. No forward-looking price target or direction was given beyond reporting past gains.

Key arguments

  • Position is up $230,000 excluding dividends
  • Fourth largest holding in the portfolio
BullishThis 1 Stock will SOAR now‼️Aug 26, 2026
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The YouTuber calls Cheesecake Factory 'red hot,' noting a large portfolio gain, but offers no specific forward-looking price target or timeframe.

Key arguments

  • Portfolio position up $6,000 in a single day
  • Cumulative gain of $242,000 in the position, not including dividends
Strongly BullishBig market move has STARTED‼️Aug 18, 2026
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The host is heavily bullish on Cheesecake Factory, driven by a fundamental shift in the business as the Flower Child concept posts a breakout 13% comp sales growth, which he compares to Chipotle's historic ramp. He cites rising margins, improving free cash flow, and a long runway to expand Flower Child from 44 to a potential 700 domestic locations.

Key arguments

  • Flower Child comp sales grew 13% YoY, following 5% the prior year
  • Flower Child has only 44 of a potential 700 domestic locations
  • Gross margins near 80% and improving net margins
  • Free cash flow and operating cash flow at all-time highs
  • Stock up 80% over the past 3 months

Risks acknowledged

  • Valuation has risen into the mid-20s P/E, though he still views this as reasonable
BullishTop 3 Best stocks to Buy Now (Mid/Late 2026)Aug 12, 2026
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Jeremy congratulates Cheesecake Factory shareholders after the stock hit another all-time high, noting the stock has been running strongly. He does not provide a forward price target or thesis beyond acknowledging the recent performance.

Key arguments

  • Stock hit another all-time high
Strongly BullishIm Going to LOAD THE BOAT on this Stock Now‼️Jul 30, 2026
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The speaker views Cheesecake Factory as the most exciting restaurant concept available, citing a strong quarter with 25% net income growth on 8% revenue growth. He believes the company has a decade-plus runway of growth from expanding North Italia and Flower Child concepts, comparing Flower Child's comp sales favorably to Chipotle's best years.

Key arguments

  • 25% net income and EPS growth off just 8% revenue growth
  • Flower Child concept posted 13% comp store sales growth, comparable to Chipotle's legendary run
  • Plans to grow Cheesecake Factory locations from 216 to 300, North Italia from 51 to 200, and Flower Child concepts toward 700-800 locations
  • Raised net income projections to $215-225 million for 2026 vs prior $23 million estimate mentioned
  • Believes North Italia's negative comps will eventually turn positive

Risks acknowledged

  • North Italia comps have been negative for two straight years
  • Uncertainty on how big Flower Child's ultimate potential is compared to Chipotle
BullishStocks crashing‼️(AMD, MU, SNDK, SOFI) Do this nowJul 29, 2026
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The host highlights Cheesecake Factory as one of his best long-term picks, having bought shares in the $30s and now seeing the stock near $100. This is framed as a past success story rather than a new forward prediction.

Key arguments

  • Started buying Cheesecake Factory in the $30s and it's now nearly $100 a share
  • Considers it one of the best money-making stocks of the past few years
  • Believes many investors missed this opportunity