TSLABullpending
Target Price
$900
“by the end of this year, Tesla is going to be a 900 plus dollar stock into early 2027, into like Q1 2027, let's say.”
Thesis at the time
BullishTesla's -4% day is macro, not company-specific. Q1 earnings had plenty to love — FSD subscription records, China FSD approval tracking, Optimus production lines installing August-September with production by end-of-year, cyber cab rolling off line. Capex jump to $25B is bullish, not bearish. Near-term Tesla holding 20-day MA support, testing 50-day MA resistance. Target: $500-600 pre-midterms, $900+ by early 2027. Don't overleverage; most of the move comes late-2026 into Q1 2027.
Key arguments
- Today's -4% is macro / Iran-driven, not TSLA company-specific
- Q1: record FSD subscriptions, robotaxi expansion on track for 12 cities by EOY, FSD China approval progressing
- Optimus production lines installing Aug-Sep, production end of year
- Capex jump $20B → $25B: bullish, not bearish — Tesla has headroom
- Technical: holding 20-day MA is key support; 50-day MA is next resistance
- Expected most of the upside comes after midterms — late-2026 into Q1 2027
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Sentiment reset on capex — people fear it keeps increasing quarter-over-quarter
- Stock could retest 20-day MA break below = near-term pain
- Trump/Iran macro setup is fragile
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Trade resolves on 20-day / 50-day MA — break below 20-day = pain
- Won't move much before midterms — patience required
- Trump-tweet risk factor is significant
The call
- Date said
- Apr 23, 2026
- Timeframe
- end of this year into Q1 2027
- Deadline
- Mar 31, 2027
- Price at prediction
- $386.42
- Current price (live)
- $378.90$521.10 below target
- Confidence
- high
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- pending
Confidence Reasoning
Specific number ($900+), specific timeframe (EOY 2026 → Q1 2027), framed as direct forecast ('is going to be'). Host has repeated this exact target across videos — consistent conviction.
Source
Tesla Stock is FALLING Again.... (Stock Market is SCARED)
Said on Apr 23, 2026Open on YouTube ↗