Why I am BULLISH on Tesla Stock Again
Overall Thesis
After reducing Tesla holdings before earnings due to tactical weakness, the speaker re-entered at $325 following market stabilization and now maintains a strong bullish long-term stance on Tesla alongside positions in other AI and tech stocks.
Narratives
The speaker reduced Tesla holdings tactically before disappointing July 2026 earnings, correctly avoided the crash to $300, and has now re-entered fully around $325-$340. He remains extremely bullish long-term, arguing the stock is undervalued relative to progress in energy, automotive, Optimus and Cybercab, and expects a near-term recovery toward prior highs as institutional buyers accumulate shares.
Key Arguments
- Institutional ownership rose roughly 20-25% (from about 1.8 million to 2.2 million shares), signaling smart money is accumulating despite poor retail sentiment.
- Tesla's core businesses (automotive, energy/megapack) are improving even though the stock is down from $490 to around $340.
- Cybercab production is ramping toward roughly 2,000 units per month, which the speaker sees as evidence of a real commercial plan despite slow deployment.
- Robotaxi/Cybercab represents a far larger scalable TAM long-term than SpaceX's terrestrial compute business, making Tesla's growth story more attractive.
The speaker holds Nvidia as a core position and views it as a more value-driven, lower-risk stock than Tesla, though with less upside potential.
Key Arguments
- Considered a 'value-driven' stock relative to Tesla.
- Believes it can only go up, though with less upside than Tesla.
Predictions (1)
The speaker is moderately bullish on Meta, primarily on valuation grounds and confidence in Meta's AI team, though his conviction is weaker than for Tesla or Nvidia.
Key Arguments
- Likes Meta on valuation.
- Believes Meta's AI team (led by Jason Wang, as referenced) is underrated.
Predictions (1)
The speaker maintains a synthetically leveraged long position in Micron via short puts, expressing continued bullishness despite a rough patch in July tied to the broader momentum-stock selloff.
Key Arguments
- Holds Micron as one of his core AI-related stocks alongside Nvidia and Tesla.
- Uses short-put strategies to maintain synthetic leveraged long exposure to Micron.
Hedges & Caveats
- Speaker acknowledges short-term tactical bearishness despite long-term bullishness
- Past performance cited (2019 Tesla call) does not guarantee future results
- Market conditions were described as 'shaky' during earnings period
- Speaker maintains diversified portfolio across multiple tech stocks rather than concentrated bet