BullishGoldman ISSUES Warning for the Total Stock Market | 2027 will SUCK.Sep 22, 2026
Open source video →Kevin highlights Meta's call options (warrants) on AMD as a source of significant 'other income' boosting earnings, and considers Meta undervalued on a PEG basis despite a recent rally.
Key arguments
- Meta holds call options on AMD exercisable at a penny, generating large other-income gains as AMD's stock rose
- Meta's valuation is still viewed as cheap on a PEG basis even after a recent rally
1 prediction from this thesis
BullishTrump JUST Left the UN *Speechless* [Full Breakdown]Sep 22, 2026
Open source video →The host briefly notes that Meta has continued rising since he first flagged it around $566 a share, citing it as a successful call he's made in multiple videos. No new specific price target or timeframe was given in this segment.
Key arguments
- Meta has kept rising since the host's earlier call near $566 a share
Strongly BullishHOLY BALLSSep 22, 2026
Open source video →Kevin argues Meta is a major beneficiary of both the agentic AI advertising boom and its own AI productivity gains from the Muse launch, and views the stock as still cheap after its recent surge. He set an explicit long-term price target of $1,800 for the stock.
Key arguments
- Meta benefits as an advertiser paying for AI development and as a beneficiary of GPU value appreciation
- Muse app has topped app store free charts, showing strong AI product traction
- Meta still has $15 billion of free cash flow despite heavy capex
- Watermelon/Frontier LLM release expected next month could be a further catalyst
2 predictions from this thesis
Strongly BullishSKYROCKETING STOCK MARKET: Meta, AMD, Agentic Compute & IRAN ?!?!?!Sep 21, 2026
Open source video →Kevin highlights Meta's 12.5% single-day rally driven by its new Muse AI agent topping App Store charts, notes he holds a six-figure position and has been aggressively buying the dip, and argues Meta is still 'dirt cheap' with substantial room to run toward much higher price levels.
Key arguments
- Muse AI app rocketed to #1 free app on the App Store, driving advertiser and user growth
- Meta is both a buyer of AI compute (AMD/Nvidia GPUs) and a beneficiary of AI productivity gains
- Six-figure personal/fund exposure and active dip-buying alerts sent to members
- Company still has ~$15B free cash flow despite heavy AI capex
Risks acknowledged
- Some observers worry Zuckerberg is 'wasting money' on AI investments
1 prediction from this thesis
Strongly Bullish*NEW* Trump $5 BILLION Dollar Middle East Bailout! IRAN DEAL?!?!?!?!?Sep 21, 2026
Open source video →Kevin says he has been aggressively buying Meta, has six figures invested, and reiterates he remains bullish after the stock surged 12.5% in a single day. He does not give a specific price target, but frames the move as validation of his ongoing bullish stance.
Key arguments
- Meta stock skyrocketed 12.5% in a single day
- He has a six-figure position and has been sending buy alerts on Meta
- He reiterates broader market bullishness tied to Iran de-escalation optimism
1 prediction from this thesis
Strongly Bullishwhy stocks are skyrocketing [spoiler: it's just getting started]Sep 21, 2026
Open source video →Kevin believes Meta remains deeply undervalued even after its rally, citing his own higher-than-consensus EPS growth estimates driven by the Muse AI agent product and superior advertising positioning versus agent-driven competitors.
Key arguments
- Wall Street forecasts only 9.61% EPS growth next year, which Kevin thinks is too low
- Kevin estimates Meta could average closer to 20% EPS growth over the next four years due to Metamuse and the 'Watermelon' release
- Meta's 3.2 billion daily users dwarf competing agent platforms like Grok, preserving its advertising value as AI agents reduce ad exposure elsewhere
1 prediction from this thesis
Bullishare we f**k'dSep 19, 2026
Open source video →Kevin set a short-term price target for Meta of $700, noting it closed at $666 and remaining optimistic it would reach that level soon. He also separately notes Meta's ad business fully funds its AI chip capex, reducing downside risk even without immediate AI ROI.
Key arguments
- Meta's advertising revenue pays for its AI chip spending, so the capex is 'covered' regardless of AI ROI
- Short-term technical target of $700 following a bounce
1 prediction from this thesis
BullishThe Fed will Hike Today | Stocks TENTATIVE, AI, Nvidia, Meta - Retail SalesSep 16, 2026
Open source video →Kevin is very positive on Meta's product strategy, praising the camera-free smart glasses and the new bundled 'Meta 1' subscription tiers as smart monetization moves. He believes these new revenue streams will be highly profitable for the company.
Key arguments
- Camera-free smart glasses solve social awkwardness of camera-equipped wearables
- Meta 1 subscription bundles (Instagram/Facebook/WhatsApp features) at tiered pricing look like easy monetization
- Meta already has scale (Llama, WhatsApp, Instagram) to cross-sell subscriptions
1 prediction from this thesis
Bullishthe next 72 hours...Sep 13, 2026
Open source video →Kevin highlights selling at-the-money puts on Meta as a way to capture elevated implied volatility premium heading into the Fed decision, implying comfort owning Meta at current levels. He also floats a longer-term thesis that Meta benefits from AI companies' advertising spend.
Key arguments
- At-the-money sold puts on Meta currently yield about 8%
- Meta could benefit long-term as AI companies like Anthropic and Google pour money into advertising
BullishPREPARE FOR 3 RATE HIKES | Why I'm Buying.Sep 11, 2026
Open source video →Kevin groups Meta with Apple as a recovery-play beneficiary in his bullish scenario tied to easing geopolitical and rate fears.
Key arguments
- Listed as a 'big beneficiary' alongside Apple in the recovery scenario
1 prediction from this thesis
BullishBuy the Dip.Sep 11, 2026
Open source video →Kevin says he remains bullish on Meta, viewing its declining free cash flow as an intentional investment choice rather than a red flag, and noting the stock still trades at only about 20 times earnings despite a roughly flat year. He sees recent consolidation as the market questioning direction rather than a fundamental breakdown.
Key arguments
- Meta's free cash flow margin compression from spending is 'for all the right reasons'
- Stock trades at only ~20x earnings and is down modestly on the year despite a huge prior year
- Meta has repeatedly proven skeptics wrong on execution historically
Risks acknowledged
- Uncertain whether Meta's Muse AI subscription and compute-selling ambitions will generate a good ROI
1 prediction from this thesis
BullishHow Anthropic Will Pop the AI Bubble [IPO Warning].Sep 2, 2026
Open source video →Kevin believes Meta could become an unexpected entrant into the AI compute-selling market, renting out its GPU/chip capacity if the price is right, which he thinks the market isn't currently pricing in. He frames this as a potential undervalued catalyst for the stock, while acknowledging his own possible bias given he holds Meta shares.
Key arguments
- Zuckerberg's commentary suggests Meta is open to renting compute to others if paid enough
- Meta entering the compute market could take share from AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud
- Market may not be pricing in this potential shift
Risks acknowledged
- Kevin acknowledges he holds Meta stock and 'maybe I'm biased'
1 prediction from this thesis
BullishThis Mag 7 Stock is About to FACE RIP STRAIGHT UPAug 29, 2026
Open source video →Kevin argues Meta is undervalued because it is the only major hyperscaler not monetizing its data center compute, and that a shift toward monetization (renting compute, API revenue, AI-driven business tools) could act as a major catalyst to close its valuation discount versus peers. He believes fair value is well above the current price and sees the recent lawsuit settlement as removing a major overhang on the stock.
Key arguments
- Meta is the only hyperscaler that doesn't rent out its compute, creating a negative return on invested capital (-2.2%) versus peers who monetize compute
- Multiple Wall Street firms (Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, New Street Research, Barclays) see compute/API monetization as a stock catalyst
- Meta has roughly 6 gigawatts of compute already, about 4x SpaceX's current buildout, giving it scarcity value it isn't yet monetizing
- The recent lawsuit settlement (settled for a fraction of the rumored $1.4 trillion) removes a major overhang on the stock
- Balance sheet is relatively strong with $112B in cash/marketables/receivables versus $56B in bills and manageable long-term debt
Risks acknowledged
- Cost of goods sold rose 33%, R&D and SG&A nearly doubled, weakening apparent pricing power
- Free cash flow yield of about 2% is much lower than Salesforce's 7%
- No buybacks or dividends currently, and free cash flow has been declining
- Company may instead choose to keep building subscription/token-based services rather than monetize compute directly
1 prediction from this thesis
BullishHardware AI Stocks Reverse POST Jackson HoleAug 28, 2026
Open source video →Kevin argues Meta is undervalued and sitting in a penalty box due to lawsuit overhang and its status as the only hyperscaler not monetizing excess compute, but sees settlement of state lawsuits and potential compute monetization as catalysts. He personally believes the stock's fair value is around $1,300, well above its current trading level, while acknowledging rising costs and negative return on invested capital as risks.
Key arguments
- Meta is the only major hyperscaler not renting out excess compute despite having ~6-7 gigawatts of capacity, which analysts (Goldman, Deutsche Bank, Barclays, New Street) argue could unlock $15-65B+ in incremental revenue
- Settlement of major state lawsuits (previously threatening up to $1.4T in claimed damages) removes a large overhang on the stock
- New AI monetization products like 'business in a box', agentic commerce, and WhatsApp subscription/token pricing could drive multi-year revenue growth
- Meta stock has underperformed Amazon and Apple significantly over the past year and year-to-date
Risks acknowledged
- Return on invested capital is currently negative (~-2.2%) without compute monetization
- Cost of goods sold rose 33% and R&D/SG&A spending nearly doubled, weakening apparent pricing power
- No buybacks or dividends currently, and free cash flow yield (~2%) is much lower than peers like Salesforce
- Balance sheet carries meaningful long-term debt and lease obligations
1 prediction from this thesis
BullishStarting Over, the Lying Job Market, AI Collapse, & Investing.Aug 11, 2026
Open source video →Kevin remains bullish on Meta, viewing it primarily as an AI-enhanced advertising play with three billion daily active users rather than a pure data-center infrastructure bet. He gave a specific long-term price target for the stock.
Key arguments
- Meta is positioned as the greatest beneficiary of AI-enhanced advertising
- Massive daily active user base (3 billion) gives Meta strong advertising leverage
- Zuckerberg is pivoting away from being a pure 'Frontier Lab' toward monetizing AI within the Meta ecosystem
Risks acknowledged
- Some data center lease exposure exists, though Kevin notes they have outs on some of these
1 prediction from this thesis
NeutralBuy.Jul 29, 2026
Open source video →Meta is mentioned as one of the companies that went to the markets to raise money, contributing to the liquidity drain Kevin describes, and its earnings (alongside Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple) are flagged as a near-term catalyst within the next two days.
Key arguments
- Meta raised capital, adding to the 'great suckening' liquidity drain
- Meta earnings are one of several major catalysts expected within the next two days
MixedTesla, Microsoft, Meta Earnings LIVEJan 28, 2026
Open source video →Meta delivered strong Q4 revenue beats and positive Q1 guidance, but significantly higher AI capex spending of $125 billion (vs $110B expected) creates investor concerns about return on investment.
Key arguments
- Q4 revenue beat at $59.89B vs $58.42B expected
- Ad revenue beat at $58.14B vs $56.7B expected
- Q1 forecast beat by 7.4%
- Family of apps revenue strong at $58.9B vs $57.4B expected
Risks acknowledged
- AI capex guidance 13.6% above expectations at $125B midpoint
- Reality Labs revenue missed slightly
- Investor concerns about spending without clear revenue returns