TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF$81.75live · 9h agoTotal predictions
6
Hit rate
N/A
0 hits, 0 misses, 0 partial
Pending
0
Bull / Bear
3 / 3
direction split
YouTubers covered
3
Not enough data to plot yet.
Predictions (6)
Michael Tyler3 callsBearish
The host argues 10-year Treasury yields are breaking out to a 19-year high near 5% and that nothing the Treasury is doing is working to bring yields down, implying continued pressure on long-duration bond prices. He says only an economic crack, an AI trade slowdown, or an end to the Iran war could bring yields down.
Earlier theses (2)
The host expects long-term Treasury yields to decline after an anticipated Fed rate hike on Wednesday, which would imply bond price strength, though he frames this within a broader uncertain rate-hiking cycle narrative.
The host expects long-term Treasury yields to rise due to renewed Canada tariffs and lingering inflation concerns, which implies falling long-duration bond prices. He frames this as a headwind for both bonds and equities.
Meet Kevin2 callsBullish
Kevin argues that despite a near-term Fed rate hike, disinflationary forces from AI productivity, normalizing labor participation, and the fading Iran conflict will bring rates down over time, with him betting on the lowest rates ever by 2032. He also believes markets are currently pricing in too many future hikes, which he expects to be walked back as inflation cools.
Randy Kirk1 callMixed
The speaker discusses the 10-year yield approaching 5% and is uncertain whether it will breach that level, doubting it will go 'much over five' before buyers step back in, implying limited further downside for bond prices from here.